Bulletin of Kemerovo State University. Series: Political, Sociological and Economic sciences Bulletin of Kemerovo State University. Series: Political, Sociological and Economic sciences Вестник Кемеровского государственного университета. Серия: Политические, социологические и экономические науки 2500-3372 2542-1190 47331 10.21603/2500-3372-2021-6-3-418-426 ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ НАУКИ ECONOMICS SCIENCES ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ НАУКИ Assessment of the Reasons for the Termination of Entrepreneurial Activity: Data for Various Countries in 2020 Оценка причин завершения предпринимательской деятельности: данные за 2020 год по различным странам Пиньковецкая Юлия Семеновна Pin'koveckaya Yuliya Semenovna judy54@yandex.ru

кандидат экономических наук;

candidate of economic sciences;

 Ульяновский государственный университет Ульяновск Россия Ульяновский государственный университет Ульяновск Russian Federation 6 3 418 426 19 07 2021 20 09 2021 https://jstrategizing.kemsu.ru/en/nauka/article/47331/view

Исследование посвящено изучению причин завершения предпринимателями своей деятельности. В последние годы ситуация обострилась в связи с отрицательным влиянием последствий пандемии COVID-19 на экономические показатели большинства субъектов малого и среднего предпринимательства по различным странам. Цель – оценка сложившихся в 2020 году показателей, характеризующих причины завершения предпринимателями своей деятельности в современных национальных экономиках. Методология основывалась на разработке экономико-­математических моделей, представляющих собой функции нормального распределения. Исходными эмпирическими данными являлись результаты опроса предпринимателей (их мнения о причинах завершения деятельности) по 39 странам при проведении работ по проекту «Глобальный мониторинг предпринимательства». Оценены четыре показателя, определяющие положительные и негативные причины завершения предпринимателями своей деятельности. Приведена принципиально новая информация о влиянии пандемии COVID-19 на этот процесс. Доказано, что большинство (56,3 %) предпринимателей окончили деятельность по негативным причинам, однако не связанным с пандемией COVID-19; более четверти (почти 28 %) предпринимателей – в связи с негативными последствиями пандемии. По позитивным причинам завершил деятельность только каждый шестой предприниматель. Дальнейшие исследования могут быть связаны с оценкой последствий пандемии в 2021 году.

The research featured the issue of business termination. The COVID-19 pandemic hit small and medium-sized businesses all over the world. The research objective was to assess various economic indicators in order to explain why entrepreneurs had to abandon their business in 2020. The study was based on the economic and mathematical models that represent the functions of normal distribution. The author analyzed the opinions of entrepreneurs from 39 countries, who were asked to explain why they had to give up their business. The survey was part of the Global Monitoring of Entrepreneurship. The analysis revealed four indicators that determined the positive and negative reasons for the entrepreneurs to stop their business activities. The article introduces some new information about the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on this process. Most entrepreneurs (56.3 %) gave up their business for some pandemic-unrelated negative reasons. A quarter of them (28 %) were forced to close their businesses due to the negative consequences of the pandemic. Only one-sixth of the participants terminated their business activities for a positive reason. Further research will assess the consequences of the pandemic in 2021.

 предпринимательство выход из бизнеса пандемия COVID-19 опрос предпринимателей Глобальный мониторинг предпринимательства функции нормального распределения entrepreneurship exit from business Covid-19 pandemic survey of entrepreneurs Global Monitoring of Entrepreneurship normal distribution functions

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